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Convertible bond: Explained | TIOmarkets

BY TIO Staff

|July 3, 2024

In the world of finance and trading, a convertible bond is an intriguing instrument that combines the features of a bond and a stock. This hybrid security offers the safety of a bond with the potential upside of a stock, making it an attractive option for both conservative and aggressive investors. In this comprehensive glossary entry, we will delve into the intricate details of convertible bonds, their benefits, risks, and their role in the trading market.

Convertible bonds are issued by corporations and can be converted into a predetermined number of the company's shares at certain times during its life, usually at the discretion of the bondholder. This unique feature provides investors with the opportunity to benefit from a rise in the company's share price. However, like any financial instrument, convertible bonds come with their own set of complexities and risks that need to be understood thoroughly before investing.

Understanding Convertible Bonds

At its core, a convertible bond is a type of corporate bond, which is a debt instrument issued by a corporation to raise capital. However, what sets a convertible bond apart from a regular bond is its convertibility feature. This feature allows the bondholder to convert their bonds into a predetermined number of the company's shares.

Convertible bonds are typically issued with a lower yield compared to non-convertible bonds due to the potential for capital appreciation through conversion. The conversion ratio, which is the number of shares each bond can be converted into, is set at the time of issuance and is a key factor in determining the value of a convertible bond.

Conversion Price and Conversion Premium

The conversion price is the price at which the bond can be converted into shares. It is usually set at a premium to the current share price at the time of issuance. The conversion premium is the difference between the conversion price and the current share price, expressed as a percentage of the current share price. The conversion premium represents the additional amount an investor is willing to pay for the potential upside of conversion.

It's important to note that the conversion price and the conversion premium are inversely related. As the share price approaches the conversion price, the conversion premium decreases, making the bond more attractive to convert. Conversely, as the share price moves away from the conversion price, the conversion premium increases, making the bond less attractive to convert.

Conversion Value and Bond Value

The conversion value of a convertible bond is the value of the bond if it were converted into shares at the current share price. It is calculated by multiplying the current share price by the conversion ratio. The bond value, on the other hand, is the value of the bond as a straight bond, without considering the conversion feature. It is determined by the present value of the bond's future cash flows, which include periodic interest payments and the repayment of principal at maturity.

The higher of the conversion value and the bond value represents the theoretical value of the convertible bond. In reality, however, the market price of a convertible bond is usually higher than its theoretical value due to the conversion premium.

Benefits of Convertible Bonds

Convertible bonds offer several benefits to both investors and issuers. For investors, convertible bonds provide the safety of a bond with the potential upside of a stock. They receive regular interest payments like a bond and have the potential to benefit from a rise in the share price through conversion. Furthermore, in the event of a company's bankruptcy, bondholders have a higher claim on the company's assets than shareholders.

For issuers, convertible bonds are a cost-effective way of raising capital. They can issue convertible bonds with a lower yield compared to non-convertible bonds, reducing their cost of debt. Moreover, if the bonds are converted into shares, the company's debt is reduced, improving its financial health.

Downside Protection

One of the key benefits of convertible bonds for investors is downside protection. Unlike a stock, a convertible bond has a floor value, which is the bond value. Even if the share price falls, the bondholder still receives the bond's periodic interest payments and the repayment of principal at maturity, providing a cushion against a drop in the share price.

However, it's important to note that the downside protection is not absolute. If the issuer defaults on its obligations, the bondholder may not receive the full value of their investment. Therefore, the creditworthiness of the issuer is a crucial factor to consider when investing in convertible bonds.

Capital Appreciation Potential

The convertibility feature of a convertible bond provides investors with the potential for capital appreciation. If the share price rises above the conversion price, the bondholder can convert their bonds into shares and sell the shares at a profit. The higher the share price, the greater the potential profit from conversion.

However, the potential for capital appreciation comes with the risk of share price volatility. If the share price falls, the conversion value of the bond decreases, reducing the attractiveness of conversion. Therefore, the future prospects of the company and the outlook for its share price are important factors to consider when investing in convertible bonds.

Risks of Convertible Bonds

While convertible bonds offer several benefits, they also come with their own set of risks. These include credit risk, interest rate risk, and market risk. Understanding these risks is crucial for making informed investment decisions.

Credit risk is the risk that the issuer will default on its obligations. If the issuer's financial health deteriorates, the risk of default increases, which can lead to a drop in the bond's market price. Interest rate risk is the risk that changes in interest rates will affect the bond's market price. As interest rates rise, the market price of bonds falls, and vice versa. Market risk is the risk that changes in market conditions, such as economic conditions or market sentiment, will affect the bond's market price.

Credit Risk

Credit risk is a significant risk for convertible bond investors. The issuer's ability to meet its obligations is crucial for the bondholder's return on investment. If the issuer defaults on its obligations, the bondholder may not receive the full value of their investment. Therefore, assessing the issuer's creditworthiness is a key part of investing in convertible bonds.

Credit ratings, issued by credit rating agencies, are a useful tool for assessing an issuer's creditworthiness. A high credit rating indicates a low risk of default, while a low credit rating indicates a high risk of default. However, credit ratings are not infallible and should be used in conjunction with other financial analysis tools.

Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate risk is the risk that changes in interest rates will affect the bond's market price. As interest rates rise, the market price of bonds falls, and vice versa. This is because the present value of the bond's future cash flows, which include periodic interest payments and the repayment of principal at maturity, is inversely related to interest rates.

Convertible bonds, however, are less sensitive to interest rate changes compared to non-convertible bonds due to their convertibility feature. If interest rates rise, the potential for capital appreciation through conversion can offset the drop in the bond's market price. Conversely, if interest rates fall, the bond's market price can rise due to the increased attractiveness of its interest payments.

Market Risk

Market risk is the risk that changes in market conditions, such as economic conditions or market sentiment, will affect the bond's market price. Market risk is inherent in all financial instruments and cannot be eliminated through diversification.

For convertible bonds, market risk includes the risk of share price volatility. If the share price falls, the conversion value of the bond decreases, reducing the attractiveness of conversion. Conversely, if the share price rises, the conversion value of the bond increases, enhancing the attractiveness of conversion. Therefore, the future prospects of the company and the outlook for its share price are important factors to consider when investing in convertible bonds.

Convertible Bond Valuation

Valuing convertible bonds is a complex process due to their hybrid nature. It involves valuing the bond as a straight bond and valuing the conversion option separately. The sum of these two values represents the theoretical value of the convertible bond.

The value of the bond as a straight bond is determined by the present value of the bond's future cash flows, which include periodic interest payments and the repayment of principal at maturity. The value of the conversion option, on the other hand, is determined using option pricing models, such as the Black-Scholes model. The key inputs for these models include the current share price, the conversion price, the volatility of the share price, the time to maturity, and the risk-free rate of return.

Valuing the Bond as a Straight Bond

The value of the bond as a straight bond is determined by the present value of the bond's future cash flows. These cash flows include periodic interest payments and the repayment of principal at maturity. The discount rate used to calculate the present value is the yield to maturity, which is the internal rate of return of the bond.

The yield to maturity takes into account both the bond's current market price and its future cash flows. It represents the total return an investor would receive if they held the bond to maturity and the issuer fulfilled all its obligations. Therefore, the yield to maturity reflects both the bond's credit risk and interest rate risk.

Valuing the Conversion Option

The value of the conversion option is determined using option pricing models, such as the Black-Scholes model. These models take into account various factors, including the current share price, the conversion price, the volatility of the share price, the time to maturity, and the risk-free rate of return.

The current share price and the conversion price are straightforward inputs. The volatility of the share price, however, can be difficult to estimate. It represents the degree of variation in the share price and is a key determinant of the value of the conversion option. The time to maturity is the time remaining until the bond's maturity date. The risk-free rate of return is the return on a risk-free investment, such as a government bond.

Conclusion

Convertible bonds are a unique type of financial instrument that offer the safety of a bond with the potential upside of a stock. They provide investors with regular interest payments and the opportunity to benefit from a rise in the share price through conversion. However, they also come with their own set of risks, including credit risk, interest rate risk, and market risk.

Understanding the intricacies of convertible bonds, including their benefits, risks, and valuation, is crucial for making informed investment decisions. Whether you're a conservative investor looking for downside protection or an aggressive investor seeking capital appreciation, convertible bonds can be a valuable addition to your investment portfolio.

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TIO Staff

Behind every blog post lies the combined experience of the people working at TIOmarkets. We are a team of dedicated industry professionals and financial markets enthusiasts committed to providing you with trading education and financial markets commentary. Our goal is to help empower you with the knowledge you need to trade in the markets effectively.

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